天美视频

Cory Lum/Civil Beat/2022

About the Author

Neal Milner

Neal Milner is a former political science professor at the University of Hawai驶i where he taught for 40 years. He is a political analyst for KITV and is a regular contributor to Hawaii Public Radio's His most recent book is Opinions are the author's own and do not necessarily reflect Civil Beat's views.

You’ve got your Haters and your Double Haters and it all adds up to a toxic brew of continued disaffection.

The 2024 presidential election deserves a name matching its dreadfulness. 

My mother used to say that there were some Yiddish expressions that are better at describing things than English words are.

She was right.  2024 is the “Oy vey!鈥 election.

鈥淥y vey!鈥 Think of being so exasperated and so upset that you want to slap the side of your head and scream. Or instead of slapping your head, .

Oy vey is 鈥渨oe is me鈥 on steroids, 鈥渁uwe鈥 with a full mouthful of wasabi and a veil of tears.

Forget for now which candidate you like and instead think about the election as a whole. The 2024 election is already a noxious mix of anger, fear, withdrawal, disappointment and disgust, with a large dose of ambivalence that makes the poison even more potent.

To make sense of this sad mix and its confounding consequences, think of the electorate as a combination of two groups.

The Haters: those who know their choice and fear and loathe the opponents. The ones who say the other side is beyond wrong. It’s a menace.

Full disclosure, most of my friends are Haters. Most people who talk about their favorite candidate are Haters too.

Haters are strongly attached to one political party, and consistently vote for its candidates. Haters are thinking “oy vey” because they believe that if the opposition candidate wins, catastrophe looms.

The other group is the Double Haters, a term that Trump campaign operatives coined in his race against Hilary Clinton. They are the significant number of voters who can鈥檛 stand either Biden or Trump.

I鈥檓 not saying that any of these hate-based views are wrong. They are understandable. That does not make 2024 any less awful. In fact, it makes the election even more so.

The awfulness boils down to two things. One is that both Joe Biden and Donald Trump are flawed candidates, in some ways historically flawed. The second is whatever the issues, the dominant overall message will be about fear and hate.

Voters line up for midterm 2022 elections at Honolulu Hale.
Voters are discouraged about their choices in 2024. (Cory Lum/Civil Beat/2022)

‘Those Two Guys Again? Oy Vey!’

How鈥檚 this for voter unhappiness? Over half say that neither Biden nor Trump is fit to serve a second term — Biden because they think he is incompetent and too old, Trump because they think he is dangerous and corrupt.

Both Trump and Biden are, for presidential candidates, unprecedently unpopular with mutually terrible approval ratings.

As looking at a recent poll in Wisconsin, a swing state where Trump and Biden are running neck and neck, the candidates鈥 political weaknesses are 鈥済laring 鈥 almost fatal鈥 except when they are running against one another.

Two lame horses in a horse race.

Republican voters are reasonably but not overly enthusiastic about Trump.聽Whatever their fears about Trump, Democratic voters are not enthusiastic about Biden.

The choice between two damaged candidates for voters, many of whom feel 鈥渕eh鈥 about them, is not exactly 鈥淗appy Days Are Here Again.鈥 More like 鈥淗ere we go again.鈥

Which brings us to the importance as well as the mystery of those Double Haters.

‘A Pox On Both Your Horses’

The importance of the Double Haters arises from this cauldron of disappointment and disdain.

About 20% of the electorate are Double Haters. That鈥檚 a large number, probably a little bigger than in 2016 when both Clinton and Trump were also extremely unpopular. Their number is large enough for many analysts to predict that the key 2024 constituency is this group of people who think both candidates are unfit.

It鈥檚 too early to tell. We don鈥檛 know how likely the Double Haters are to vote and whom they are likely to choose if they decide to cast a ballot.

One poll has Biden with a 12-point lead over Trump among Double Haters, which is unusual since Trump generally gets the votes of people dissatisfied with both candidates. Another shows .

If people think both candidates are so bad, why do they vote at all? Are many of the Double Haters , or do they resemble 鈥渁mbivalent voters鈥 who go in and out of voting depending on the candidates and the situation?

Two things stimulate ambivalents to vote. One is if they perceive a stark contrast between the candidates.That does not sound like Double Haters because they put both candidates in the same basket of bozos.

Above all, fear and anxiety get ambivalent voters to the polls. Both the Biden and Trump campaigns are acting accordingly.

鈥淣either is serving up hope,鈥 Marcela Valdes says about these campaigns in her article about ambivalent voters. The Trump strategy is to play on fears about immigration while Biden鈥檚 is to stress threats to democracy.

In short, both campaigns are spreaders of the very things that make 2024 so off-putting and sad.

2020 mail in ballot officlal ballot drop box located in Mililani鈥檚 Park and Ride facility.
In the absence of hopeful messages, voters will likely be spurred by fear and hate. (Cory Lum/Civil Beat/2020)

An enormous number of people will cast their votes not out of enthusiasm but out of various degrees of fear and hate, protecting themselves from bad things rather than moving forward with better ones. Playing defense.

Understandable, but in terms of what this kind of election does to the social fabric, it鈥檚 awful because whoever wins, 2024 is going to enhance the political pathologies that have been around way too long.

The 2024 presidential election will be very much like the last two. It will be a reflector of society, not a corrector or a connector.

There鈥檚 so much sadness, so much sourness about 2024. I don鈥檛 mean the sadness and sourness voters may feel about the chance their side will lose the election. 

I mean the sadness that comes from taking a step back from our choices and realizing how sullen, pessimistic and concerned folks are about the whole thing.

Some think that the 2028 presidential election could break this pattern with a 鈥渢ransformative鈥 candidate able to put together a new coalition based on the changes going on among both Democratic and Republican voters.

That鈥檚 one kind of change. Another is more from the ground up, recognizing that relying on politics is part of the problem. Our political beliefs have seeped into and polluted our everyday lives.

That change requires a real cultural shift that would make it possible for people to accept the limits of politics and rely more on other ways to build a better society and a better self. I鈥檝e .

That鈥檚 all about then. This is now. For now, 2024 makes me want to slap the side of my head and bury my head in the sand.

Say it one more time with feeling:

OY VEY!


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About the Author

Neal Milner

Neal Milner is a former political science professor at the University of Hawai驶i where he taught for 40 years. He is a political analyst for KITV and is a regular contributor to Hawaii Public Radio's His most recent book is Opinions are the author's own and do not necessarily reflect Civil Beat's views.


Latest Comments (0)

Fun fact: Ostriches do not bury thier heads, it's just an urban myth. Can always go back to slapping your head :)

Dan · 10 months ago

I don't think anyone is happy about these choices.But there's only one candidate who's on record threatening state election officials with crimes for not rigging an election in their favor, who thinks that the federalist society is bad because they refuse to abandon their defense of the constitution to support his super imperial presidency, and has admitted their administration was a criminal enterprise by demanding immunity for the crimes they committed. Let's also not forget how that candidate was told the Chesebro-Eastman coup plan was illegal by the authors but still tried to do it anyways.Meanwhile, NATO is stronger than ever, unemployment is extremely low, the Dow is on fire, help wanted signs are everywhere, consumer confidence is up, oil production is at a record high, record exports between '21-23, and the flow of millions of taxpayer dollars into the president's bank account has stopped.There's plenty of reasons to dislike the two choices, but one is clearly better than the other and not a self admitted criminal.

Nova · 10 months ago

No hate and no sourness. Why such a negative article? The 2024 election is a beacon of hope. The past 3 1/2 years has been difficult for all of America to say the least. America was in a much better place all around prior to 2020. Not my opinion, but simply fact. Everyone I芒聙聶ve talked to cannot wait to cast their vote. It can芒聙聶t get any worse than what we have now is the consensus . May God bless America.

shirls.kev · 10 months ago

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