Beth Fukumoto: Maybe We Need Another Crisis To Turn Out The Vote
It shouldn’t take a pandemic to get us to vote. But voter turnout is better when the community has something to pull it together.
June 23, 2023 · 5 min read
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It shouldn’t take a pandemic to get us to vote. But voter turnout is better when the community has something to pull it together.
Voter turnout and registration in the 2022 midterm election reached a national . Yet, in Hawaii, voter participation was disappointingly low. Again.
±á²¹·É²¹¾±¾±â€™s voter turnout has hovered between 50% to 60% since Barack Obama’s 2008 presidential election drew 66% of Hawaii voters to the ballot box. So when of registered voters cast their ballots in 2020, many hoped the newly implemented all-mail voting system had finally helped our state break its dismal trend.
But no such luck. Our turnout numbers slid down to 48% in 2022, the lowest general election turnout in state history.
Every election, we go through the same list of reasons for our low participation.
Presidential elections draw more voters than midterm elections.
It’s true. General election turnout is higher when residents have a chance to vote for the top office in the country. In 2020, voter turnout broke records, in part, because people saw that it was a pivotal moment for the country.
But we also saw the without either presidential candidate appearing on the August ballot. Also telling is that the gap in turnout between 2020 and the 2022 midterm election was nearly double the usual drop-off, suggesting this wasn’t a normal non-presidential year lull.
Negative campaigning dampened enthusiasm.
Toxic campaigns can lower voter turnout. However, didn’t fluctuate significantly during heated gubernatorial races like the 2014 race between former Gov. Neil Abercrombie and then Sen. David Ige, or the 2018 race between then-governor Ige and former Congresswoman Colleen Hanabusa.
Our elections aren’t competitive enough.
If voters simply needed more competition, we should see a higher turnout in our primaries that allow any voter to participate regardless of party affiliation. Democratic dominance may make our general election races appear predetermined, but our primary races can be competitive.
That said, policymakers could do more to increase competition overall. Ranked choice voting is an innovation that could make a big difference – though not if it remains .
It should be easier to vote.
In Hawaii, it’s easier than ever to register to vote and to cast your ballot. Eligible voters can or while applying for a state ID or driver’s license. And, when it’s time to vote, the state will automatically mail you a ballot.
Of course, the system isn’t perfect. People may struggle to register online, find a long ballot intimidating, or opt-in to automatic registration without ever intending to vote. But, in theory, recent efforts to make voting easier should create a larger turnout if access is the biggest barrier in Hawaii.
Lawmakers should always be trying to make elections more accessible, more competitive and more engaging.
But we’re past simple policy fixes. It’s time to explore underlying factors so we can craft more effective (and complex) solutions.
In bestsellers like “” and “,” famous behavioral scientists make clear that human beings aren’t purely logical decision-makers. Influencers ranging from individual preferences to community belonging to government structures drive our decision-making forward before our rational minds can catch up.
So, our decisions to vote are not only influenced by government policies or personal choices. They’re also heavily influenced by our families, our cultural identity, our connectedness to our community and more. If we want change, that’s where we should look.
Our shared standards of behavior, or social norms, are an essential, powerful part of our decision-making processes. that registered voters are more likely to vote if their family or community has created and established a strong social norm about the value of voting. While most of us would outwardly say that we do believe people should vote, many of us can’t say why it matters. We might even secretly believe that it doesn’t matter.
If we do have a social norm about voting in Hawaii, it’s a weak social norm. In order to develop a strong social norm, we would each need to believe that other people are voting, that other people want us to vote too, and that we’ll experience social consequences if we don’t. We’re not there yet.
The good news is that we do have a lot of strong norms, and community-centeredness is one of them.
In 2020, the pandemic drew us together and reminded us that even a small thing like wearing a mask can have a major impact. I suspect that’s why voter turnout was higher. We were reminded that we were inextricably linked together. Government played a big role in our personal health, and our individual actions had consequences for the people around us.
So, we voted. We voted despite negative campaigns or a dull primary or ±á²¹·É²¹¾±¾±â€™s presidential choice seemingly like a foregone conclusion. We voted even if we didn’t fully know why it mattered. Because our sense of community was heightened.
If we want to get that level of participation again, we need to work together to counteract the harmful norms about voting and connect our existing values to political participation so we can build new ones.
And we can’t wait until the next election season begins. We need to start now.
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Latest Comments (0)
The reason for low turnout is that Republicans or conservative leaning voters don't bother to show up. Being outnumbered 2-1 means that victories are unlikely and, if an R does manage to win, there will never be enough elected R officials to change anything legislatively. About the only chance of getting a higher turnout in Hawaii would be the creation of another party in the state that could somehow peel enough conservative leaning Democrats away and unite them with moderate Republicans. There's probably some opportunity for it now with dissatisfaction growing about the inability of the current D led state government to solve any problems and their corruption. But at the same time attachment to the national Republican party is a nonstarter in the state (in my opinion). I'll call it the Democratic Conservative Party of Hawaii. This has happened from time to time historically. For example, in Minnesota the Democrats merged with the Farmer Labor Party in the 1940's to form their DFL party today. DFL has control of all 3 chambers in the state.
Downhill_From_Here · 1 year ago
There are many theories and valid reasons why voter turnout is so low. One that I have not seen discussed is how media pre-selects the top candidates for offices. MSM will only cover the top 2 or 3 candidates for an office and ignore the rest. These ignored candidates may have good policies and ideas however because media do not give them coverage, voters do not vote for them.Then when media release poll numbers showing how one candidate has a large lead over the next candidate, there leaves no reason to vote.The other problem is that some of the local offices are uncontested where a single vote will win the office. Why vote if the incumbent is guaranteed to win.
shk808 · 1 year ago
Ballotpedia which calculates and ranks state voter turnout based on votes cast as a percentage of eligible voters has Hawaii at 57.52% in 2020 and 41.06% in 2022, which placed Hawaii at 49th lowest in 2020 (out of 50 states + D.C.) and 46th lowest in 2022. We are at the bottom with the red states in the South where most Americans expect low turnouts.Believe it or not, that is an improvement from 2018 when Hawaii ranked 51st or dead last in voter turnout. So ballot by mail advocates can claim that it actually worked on a relative basis.
Averagejoe · 1 year ago
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