Benjamin Reilly is an Australian political scientist and adjunct senior fellow at the East-West Center.
Australia and Hawaii share a lot in common: surf, beaches, weather.
When it comes to electing our political representatives, however, there is one key difference.
For over 100 years, Australians have used ranked choice voting, known as RCV, which allows voters to indicate their preference between candidates, rather than the single 鈥渢ake it or leave it鈥 choice used in much of the United States, including Hawaii.
Hawaii鈥檚 Legislature is currently considering a bill 鈥 鈥 to introduce RCV for one-off special vacant county council seats and federal elections. If successful, Hawaii would join Maine and Alaska, and major cities such as San Francisco and Oakland in California, and Minneapolis, Minnesota, in choosing some or all of their politicians this way.
There are several reasons RCV is superior to the current system.
First, RCV guarantees that any elected member will be chosen by a majority of the community, either outright or after all rankings are counted, rather than the minority victories and split-votes that can and often do occur under plurality voting.
In 2010, Hawaii faced this issue when Republican Charles Djou won a special federal election with only 39% of the vote after Colleen Hanabusa and Ed Case split the almost 60% Democratic vote between them. The same year, a vacant county council special election saw a tea party Republican, Tom Berg, win with just 18% of the vote in a 14-candidate split field.
Similar majority-denying outcomes spurred Australia鈥檚 introduction of RCV a century ago, while in Maine and Alaska, split votes leading to the election of unpopular and unrepresentative Governors from the minority party (Democrats in one state, Republicans in another) were a key factor in the adoption by initiative of RCV.
In both cases, voters rebelled at being represented by politicians clearly at odds with most of their constituents.
Such unrepresentative results are not possible under RCV. Instead, if no candidate has a majority of first rankings, successive rounds sees the candidate with the lowest support eliminated and their ballots transferred according to the next candidate ranked, until one has achieved an absolute majority.
Politicians elected this way can thus claim a true majority mandate for their victory.
Less Polarized Politics
This majority mandate is key to a second advantage: less polarized politics. There is no room under RCV for narrow or extremist positions at odds with the majority of the electorate. This is one reason why Australian politics has remained relatively centrist, without the polarization seen in the United States and other Western democracies in recent years. Big parties seek to win not only their own first-choice votes, but pick up preference flows from smaller parties too.
The center-left Labor Party, for instance, relies on voters for the smaller Green Party choosing it as a 鈥渟econd best鈥 option, and has shifted its policies to incorporate environmental issues accordingly.
The main center-right Coalition similarly uses RCV to encourage its supporters to rank both its constituent Liberal and National parties when they complete their ballot.
This process has generated a third benefit: in the course of election campaigns, RCV encourages politicians to cut deals with other candidates, not just allies but sometimes also with their competitors. These deals can be the basis for negotiation and cooperation once in government.
While RCV does not make politicians embrace their opponents or be nice to their enemies, it does give them a reason to at least talk 鈥 in stark contrast to the situation in Washington, D.C., today, where Democrats and Republicans are no longer on speaking terms.
The biggest beneficiaries of RCV, however, are ordinary voters who are not committed supporters of any party. Such voters can choose to vote for a party of their choice with the first rank, and then give a second or third-choice vote for others, without worrying that their vote is going to be 鈥渨asted.鈥
Politicians elected this way can thus claim a true majority mandate.
RCV also allows third-party candidates to come through the field as a compromise or 鈥渓east unpopular鈥 choice from second (or very rarely third) place and win the seat. Australia has seen a new wave of female Independents elected this way in recent elections. Maine鈥檚 Jared Golden (the most centrist member of the U.S. House of Representatives on some measures) also won this way in 2018.
But such 鈥渃ome from behind鈥 victories are the exception, not the norm. In most districts, the first-count leader wins, often without second preferences ever being counted. But as long as election outcomes are uncertain, campaigning politicians still have an incentive to gain the broadest support as possible, and to avoid muckraking or negativity that could cost them transfer votes.
RCV is not perfect. It asks more of voters, and more of election officials, than many other electoral systems. But it also gives more in return, subtly changing the incentives politicians face during campaigns and also in government, and giving citizens much more ability to make their vote count. Australia鈥檚 experience suggests it would be a good choice for Hawaii.
Sign up for our FREE morning newsletter and face each day more informed.
Community Voices aims to encourage broad discussion on many
topics of
community interest. It鈥檚 kind of
a cross between Letters to the Editor and op-eds. This is your space to talk about important issues or
interesting people who are making a difference in our world. Column lengths should be no more than 800
words and we need a photo of the author and a bio. We welcome video commentary and other multimedia
formats. Send to news@civilbeat.org. The opinions and
information expressed in Community Voices are solely those of the authors and not Civil Beat.
RCV sounds good in theory. A candidate wins a majority of the vote? Good, right? But that assumes that people are actually educating themselves about the various candidates on the ballot when ranking their votes. In my experience, however, RCV serves as window dressing and little else and hasn't really been shown to make a difference in outcome.And you don't even need RCV to get a majority if you have runoff elections between the top two finishes. Some would say that runoff elections are expensive. But, considering that Hawaii has moved to all-mail elections, RCV also wouldn't even save significantly more money in this regard.
808guy·
2 years ago
"This is one reason why Australian politics has remained relatively centrist, without the polarization seen in the United States and other Western democracies in recent years" Centrist? How is the lock downs, mandates, Covid camps and the totalitarians working out for the Australian people? All that is not centrist. But I get your point.
Stopthemadness·
2 years ago
The problem with RCV is that it may foster candidates who dodge answering the tough questions & hedge their positions on the issues...all with the aim of trying not to offend voters & to garner as many 1st or 2nd choice ballots as possible.On issues like hot-button issues like rail, TMT, the new Aloha Stadium...the decision to support/reject these projects are going to be polarizing. There's no way around it. Going into an election, voters are best served by knowing the positions of the candidates. They are not well served by candidates who evade the controversial topics & who are just trying to get your 2nd or 3rd choice support...while hoping that those who take clear stands on issues will cancel each other out.Will anyone be happy with winners who were the "least offensive" on the campaign trail...but kept their positions hidden from the voters until after they assume power? That's scary, if you ask me.
IDEAS is the place you'll find essays, analysis and opinion on public affairs in Hawaii. We want to showcase smart ideas about the future of Hawaii, from the state's sharpest thinkers, to stretch our collective thinking about a problem or an issue. Email news@civilbeat.org to submit an idea.