Hawaii Braces For A Dual Threat: Hurricanes And COVID-19
The pandemic will make Hawaii’s response to a natural disaster even more daunting, officials say.
As if the COVID-19 pandemic wasn鈥檛 enough, now add hurricanes to Hawaii’s list of worries.
This year鈥檚 season for the fierce and potentially destructive storms starts June 1. The forecasts a strong chance that the Central Pacific will see near- to below-normal hurricane activity through Nov. 30.
It further cautions, however, that all it takes is one direct hit to inflict widespread damage.
That leaves the islands鈥 emergency-response leaders — as well as weary and cash-strapped local residents — facing a unique, dual-threat scenario in an island state that鈥檚 severely vulnerable to disaster.
Local officials recommend that the public add hand sanitizer and masks to their 14-day kits even as they acknowledge the economic fallout from COVID-19 has left much of those hurricane supplies depleted and many residents unsure where they鈥檒l get their next meal.
鈥淭his exacerbates the problems and the challenges that we鈥檝e had before,鈥 said , a University of Hawaii professor and chair of the .
Even without a pandemic, Hawaii鈥檚 emergency response 鈥渨as challenging for a number of reasons,鈥 Kim said.
On Oahu, emergency public shelters are already in short supply and it鈥檚 not clear how those buildings, mostly school facilities, would fare in hurricane-force winds.
Now, add the physical-distancing requirements to help prevent the virus鈥 spread and that already tight shelter capacity shrinks exponentially.
Normally, Honolulu officials allow for about 10 square feet of space per evacuee. With physical distancing, they say they鈥檇 need about 100 square feet per person, leaving about a tenth of the shelter area.
鈥淲e鈥檙e stuck in a tough situation,鈥 said , Honolulu鈥檚 Director of Emergency Management. 鈥淭hat is a huge challenge that I鈥檒l readily admit that we haven鈥檛 solved yet.鈥
One potential solution: The city is exploring whether the island鈥檚 vacant hotel rooms might safely shelter evacuees, Toiya said Tuesday. But there鈥檚 still a lot of variables — it would require agreements with those hoteliers and a way to fund the operation.
Plus, the city would have to determine that the hotel buildings would hold up in a hurricane, Toiya added.
No deals have been reached yet. , president of the Hawaii Lodging and Tourism Association and the city鈥檚 former mayor, said the hoteliers would be open to such a request.
Maria Lutz, the Red Cross of Hawaii鈥檚 regional disaster officer, said on a conference call Wednesday that anyone entering an evacuation shelter this season would be temperature-screened first and would have to wear a mask.
If someone has a fever or shows symptoms of COVID-19, they鈥檇 be placed in an isolation room away from the general public, Lutz said.
鈥淲hen COVID was first declared a pandemic, most of us knew in the back of our minds鈥 that hurricane season was approaching, Toiya said. 鈥淢ost of us have been thinking about it for awhile.鈥
A Moderate Forecast, But An Unusual Year
The National Weather Service forecasts between two to six tropical cyclones in the Central Pacific waters that surround Hawaii this hurricane season.
Normally, the region sees four or five cyclones in a season, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. That number can fluctuate significantly from year to year.
However, as climate change intensifies and warmer ocean temperatures creep north, climatologists estimate Hawaii could see the number of tropical storms and hurricanes that either pass nearby or make landfall increase by 15% each decade.
That鈥檚 if the world鈥檚 rate of carbon emissions remains the same.
The islands have seen five direct hits from either a hurricane or a tropical storm since 1950, according to the Three of those direct hits happened in the past six years.
If a storm does hit this season, the federal recommend that people continue to practice physical distancing when checking on neighbors, staying at least 6 feet apart.
The Philippines already faced its first challenge responding to a deadly storm in the age of coronavirus when Typhoon Vongfong hit the Western Pacific archipelago last week.
Emergency shelters there are often overcrowded when typhoons hit. One mayor told that he had managed to secure enough masks for his town鈥檚 villagers but physical distancing would be impossible with the shelter space available.
Meanwhile, on Oahu, the thousands of aging, wooden homes present a further challenge. Computer-based disaster modeling has shown that thousands of families would be displaced even in a Category 1 hurricane, their single-wall construction homes left severely damaged or destroyed.
With the pandemic in play, many residents might opt to shelter at home during a hurricane instead of evacuating to a public shelter, officials said.
Thanks to COVID-19 鈥渁 lot of people are in difficult financial condition鈥 and can鈥檛 afford costly retrofits to better protect their homes, acknowledged Dennis Hwang, a coastal hazard mitigation specialist at the University of Hawaii鈥檚 .听
He鈥檚 among the state鈥檚 strongest advocates pushing for home retrofits, and he co-authored a for those looking to better protect their homes.
On Wednesday, Hwang encouraged residents to take what reasonable steps they could to protect against the storms. That includes clearing debris from their property, drains and gutters — and installing hurricane clips to secure the roof.听
Additionally, many Hawaii residents have been avoiding hospital visits since the pandemic started, according to Lt. Gov. Josh Green. He encouraged those patients to refill their 14-day supplies of medications ahead of the storm season.
Toiya added that his agency would work with the to take the necessary precautions when evacuating any senior care facilities.
Practice With A Tsunami Watch
Hawaii鈥檚 emergency operations centers, or EOC鈥檚, already got a dry run handling a major natural disaster earlier in the pandemic, when the state on March 24.
Toiya recounted learning of the watch, the result of an earthquake in the Kuril Islands, as he recorded a COVID-19 public service announcement at Honolulu Hale.
鈥淵ou鈥檝e got to be kidding,鈥 he thought.
His agency had the city鈥檚 EOC activated about a block away before he returned, he said. All of the counties鈥 EOCs activated as well, he added.
鈥淚t actually made me feel better,鈥 Toiya said. 鈥淲e鈥檙e working to stay sharp.鈥 The tsunami watch was lifted eventually.
Still, the potential for a double-whammy that includes a pandemic 鈥渏ust highlights all of the weaknesses within our existing system — especially for an island (with) limited space to begin with,” UH’s Kim said.
