As Hawaii residents eye the fresh ahi sashimi platters traditionally found on holiday dinner tables, major negotiations loom next year over how much tuna commercial fishermen should be allowed to catch.

Longline fleets have been operating under a three-year agreement that sets annual catch limits in an effort to help bigeye tuna stocks recover from years of overfishing. That deal expires at the end of 2017, setting up a showdown over the establishment of new quotas.

In addition to fishermen, expect government officials, environmental advocates and scientists to weigh in.

The 鈥 a treaty-based organization of 26 members including Pacific island nations, the United States, Japan, China and South Korea 鈥 decides how to manage and conserve highly migratory fish stocks while reducing bycatch and ensuring the overall sustainability of one of the world鈥檚 biggest sources of protein.

Hawaii’s longliners are hoping for some relief next year from the limits on how much bigeye tuna they can catch. The ahi is targeted for fresh sashimi markets. Flickr: Christopher Liang

Like other countries, the U.S. longline fleet of about聽140 vessels, almost entirely based in Honolulu, wants the commission to let it catch more fish.

The U.S. fleet hit its 2016 limit of 3,554 tons of bigeye tuna in the Western and Central Pacific by July. Bigeye is one of two types of tuna known as ahi in Hawaii; the other is yellowfin.

Under agreements with Pacific island territories, including Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands, Hawaii鈥檚 commercial fishermen were able to resume fishing for another 2,000 tons of bigeye this past year.

These quota-sharing deals, which involve the longline industry making payments of $275,000 into a fund that the territories can use for harbor improvements, have weathered lawsuits but still face criticism from some countries whose leaders view them as undermining the agreed-upon catch limits.

Quota-sharing deals are expected in 2017 as well, when the U.S. will see another cut in its bigeye catch limit, to 3,345 tons, under a measure approved by the commission.

The other major countries under the commission鈥檚 jurisdiction face similar cuts: China to 7,049 tons, Japan to 16,860 tons, South Korea to 12,869 tons and Chinese Tapei (Taiwan) to 9,675 tons.

Members of the Western Pacific Regional Fishery Management Council, a 13-member body with jurisdiction over 1.5 million square nautical miles that includes Hawaiian waters, were at the commission鈥檚 annual meeting earlier this month in Fiji in large part to see where the discussion is going on future quotas.

Western Pacific Regional Fishery Management Council staff member Eric Kingma, middle, at a Western and Central Pacific Regional Fisheries Commission meeting earlier this month in Fiji. Nathan Eagle/Civil Beat

Eric Kingma, Wespac鈥檚 National Environmental Policy Act coordinator, said the council wants to ensure its voice is heard.

Wespac has for years been pushing the commission to consider a spatial management system for bigeye tuna, one that factors in where most of the fish are caught rather than a blanket catch limit for each country.

Kingma said bigeye stocks are only about 20 percent depleted in northern latitudes near Hawaii, but are roughly 80 percent depleted closer to the equator where there鈥檚 more fishing.

鈥淲e鈥檇 like to see some relief with the catch limits.” 鈥 Eric Kingma, Wespac

鈥淲e鈥檇 like to see some relief with the catch limits,鈥 he said. 鈥淎nd we鈥檇 like to see fishing limits applied to where mortality is the highest.鈥

Kingma appreciates the complexities involved with the commission reaching any kind of agreement, let alone on a major issue like quotas.

鈥淚t鈥檚 like herding cats sometimes with all these countries,鈥 he said. 鈥淭here鈥檚 a lot of history involved in these negotiations and there鈥檚 not a lot of wiggle room, unfortunately.鈥

At its meeting earlier this month in Fiji, the commission agreed to a 10-year rebuilding timeline for bigeye tuna stocks 鈥 something called a 鈥減ositive step.鈥 The nonprofit regularly attends the commission鈥檚 meetings, lobbying for stronger conservation measures.

Wez Norris, deputy director-general at , a 17-member group of Pacific island nations, said the 10-year time frame will impact next year’s conservation and management measure.

鈥淭hat will be the benchmark that it will be tested against 鈥 will this remove overfishing within 10 years or rebuild the stock to the limit reference point in 10 years?鈥 Norris said.

Wespac Executive Director Kitty Simonds, seen here during a Wespac committee meeting in October in Honolulu, says Donald Trump’s election marks the beginning of a “new era.” Nathan Eagle/Civil Beat

Mary Sestric, spokeswoman for the , a partnership of scientists, tuna processors and environmental nonprofits, said the commission鈥檚 adoption of the interim time frame of up to 10 years for rebuilding the bigeye tuna stock was a 鈥渂right spot鈥 of its December meeting.

鈥淭his action is essential for development of a harvest strategy for bigeye,鈥 she said.

The target reference point for bigeye tuna is 20 percent of historical levels, according to Feleti Teo, the commission鈥檚 executive director. Bigeye has fallen to 16 percent of those levels.

鈥淭hat will be the benchmark that it will be tested against 鈥 will this remove overfishing within 10 years?” 鈥斅燱ez Norris, Pacific Islands Forum Fisheries Agency

A new stock assessment for bigeye, expected next summer, will also shape the discussion on catch limits.

Kingma is anticipating a 鈥渕ore optimistic鈥 stock assessment. He said status updates from the scientists working on the assessment suggest it will show bigeye is still subject to overfishing, but the overall biomass is on a 鈥渓ittle bit of an uptick.鈥

Another factor that could shape the bigeye quota discussions at the commission鈥檚 meeting next December is the presidency of Donald Trump.

He has spent the past few weeks filling out his Cabinet, but what positions his administration will take on commercial fishing remain uncertain. As a businessman, some expect a more aggressive approach to boost the bottom line for U.S. fishermen, even at the expense of the environment.

“It’ll be a big year,” Kingma said.

Wespac Executive Director Kitty Simonds, who for decades has strongly advocated for commercial fishing interests, wrote in the this month that 鈥淭rump will follow a much different agenda鈥 than President Barack Obama.

Wespac plans to push the WCPFC聽to consider the distribution of bigeye catch in considering quota limits next year. This map shows data from 2003 to 2012 by method (longline green, purse-seine blue, pole-and-line red and other yellow) and sub-regions (boxes) used in bigeye stock assessments. Courtesy: NMFS Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center

She has criticized Obama for expanding huge marine national monuments, including Papahanaumokuakea around the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands, that restrict commercial fishing.

Simonds said she hopes Trump will change the terms of these protected marine areas with an understanding of the economic importance of commercial fishing in this region.

Honolulu鈥檚 port continues to rank among the highest by value in the country, with $100 million of fish landed 鈥 predominantly pelagic fish such as tunas and billfish.

The industry is one key to reducing the state鈥檚 reliance on foreign imports. Nationally, 91 percent of U.S. commercial seafood is imported, compared to 59 percent in Hawaii, according to a report by John Kaneko of the nonprofit .

鈥淲e are at the beginning of a new era, one that promises to be interesting as our country adjusts to new policies and perspectives,鈥 Simonds wrote in the newsletter. 鈥淐hange is as inevitable as night and day. Our region鈥檚 fisheries and the Council need to be prepared to meet these challenges and opportunities.鈥

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