Civil Beat surveyed a random sample of 1,003 registered Hawaii voters on Feb. 12-15, using interactive voice response technology (touch-tone polling). Calls were made to landline and cell phones. Cell phones were contacted in compliance with federal law.

Results were balanced for age, gender, ethnicity and phone type.

The sampling margin of error for the full sample is 3.1 percentage points. The margin of error indicates that in 95 percent of samples of this size, the results will be within plus or minus 3.1 percent of the actual percentage in the full population of registered voters. Other sources of error, such as imperfect response rates, are also common in public opinion research and may affect the results. The margin of error for any crosstabulated result is larger than the margin of error of the corresponding topline result.

For the poll on the Hawaii governor’s race, Civil Beat surveyed 643 registered Hawaii voters who said they will vote Democrat in the primary. The poll has a 3.9 percent margin of error. For the poll on rail, we surveyed 540 Oahu voters; the margin of error is plus or minus 4.2 percent.

For the poll on the U.S. Senate race, Civil Beat surveyed 643 registered Hawaii voters who said they will vote Democrat in the primary. The poll has a 3.9 percent margin of error. For the poll on the 1st Congressional District, we polled 323 likely CD 1 Democratic voters; the margin of error is 5.4 percent.

For the poll on Mufi Hannemann and Kirk Caldwell, we surveyed 685 Oahu voters; the margin of error is plus or minus 3.7 percent. For the poll on marijuana and the minimum wage, we surveyed 1,003 registered voters statewide; the poll has a margin of error of 3.1 percent.

The poll was conducted by Civil Beat working with Merriman River Group, a full-service consulting organization specializing in opinion research, election management, and communications.

The full poll questionnaire and results are posted below.

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