Dear Legislators:

You might have noticed that Lanai voices against Big Wind have been pretty quiet lately.

This is because we鈥檝e been assured that Big Wind on Lanai is no longer a substitute for what should be the state鈥檚 energy policy. Even Neil said so when he was here on June 29, 2013, and met with 25 residents at our Senior Center. (鈥淒on鈥檛 worry, people, it鈥檚 not going to happen!鈥)

So you can imagine my surprise to see Big Wind/Lanai a centerpiece of the Public Utilities Commission (PUC)-sponsored “” at the Capitol on January 9.

The briefing was called so a 鈥淭eam鈥 from General Electric (GE) could explain the results of a 鈥淗awaii RPS Roadmap Study,鈥 an assessment of the utilities鈥 (HECO, MECO, HELCO and KIUC) progress in achieving the state鈥檚 Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS).

Yes, Elected Officials, yet again another study – for which Hawaii Natural Energy Institute (HNEI) will pay GE $850,000 – to see if the utilities can meet the RPS with lots of new wind, solar, and quite the focus on a one-way cable from Lanai. They tried to hide it, of course, mapping out a 200 MW cable between Oahu and Lanai while insisting there was 鈥渘o specific project evaluated.鈥

Please, GE, for real? Lanai wind and the one-way cable showed up over 20 times in your handouts (at least it did in the version GE/HNEI passed out January 9; 鈥溾 have been made since then.)

Other 鈥渟takeholders鈥 in the audience were HECO staffers, PUC staffers (and ex-PUC staffers who are now HECO staffers), the Consumer Advocate, DBEDT, and folks from the HNEI, which is part of the University of Hawaii, all talking to themselves about an electricity future that is, well 鈥 highly unlikely.

Not that these stakeholders would admit to such a thing. Instead, PUC staffer Jay Griffin (who used to work for HNEI) reviewed a recently submitted that confirms the utilities will likely meet their renewable generation targets of 15 percent by 2015 and 25 percent by 2020.

But 40 percent by 2030? Not so clear: Griffin spoke instead of 鈥渟ignificant challenges鈥 and 鈥渦ncertainties,鈥 difficulties in 鈥渟iting鈥 and 鈥減ermitting.鈥

One of Griffin鈥檚 statements really caught my eye: 鈥淚f we do have some inter-island connectivity and generation, we assumed about 200 MW of wind here (read: Lanai) that would significantly cut down the required new generation…鈥

Since the 200 MW Griffin wants to take from Lanai would in fact be 鈥渘ew鈥 generation, we can assume he is proposing Lanai take it on the chin so Oahu doesn鈥檛 have to cover so much of its own 鈥渘ew鈥 generation needs, or use up its own lands. Thanks, Jay.

Anyway, the GE Team reviewed colorful pie charts and busy graphs displaying peaking and cycling units, forecasted energy sales, various cable configurations, and postulated potential savings if we linked ourselves together. Or not. They confirmed that Oahu could meet significant renewable levels on-island (34 percent), no cable needed, and then focused on the proposed 鈥渂enefits鈥 of a grid-tie to Maui and a one-way extension cord from Lanai.

I didn鈥檛 hear any chatter about the fact that Oahu needn鈥檛 meet 40 percent renewable generation on its own, but can aggregate with renewable levels on Maui (currently 21 percent) and the Big Island (47 percent), and there was no mention that the PUC has already decided that utility shareholders, not ratepayers, will pay any penalty slapped on the utilities for not meeting the RPS. I guess it鈥檚 all about how you frame the conversation.

Of course GE admitted that because the real cost of a one-way cable from Lanai is unknown, we should assume that: 鈥淢ore capital intensive scenarios (such as Big Wind on Lanai) become less attractive as the cost of capital increases.鈥

Really? I鈥檓 so glad we paid the GE Team to share this; I would never have guessed.

As the morning session concluded, Rep. Cynthia Thielen (R- Kailua/Kaneohe) weighed in, pointing out that this GE study (like so many others before it) did not include any renewable firm power, such as wave technology:

鈥淲e鈥檙e a very scarce land mass, and land is very precious. So, how do you go and do a report ignoring one of Hawaii鈥檚 best renewable resources? When one branch of the federal government, the Department of Energy, says Hawaii is ripe for wave energy, why is wave energy not in here? You鈥檝e got money to do this study, it doesn鈥檛 have to be narrow. I鈥檓 finding [the GE report] very incomplete and very troublesome.鈥

After lecturing Rep. Thielen on the fact that wave energy is not ready for commercial prime time, HNEI鈥檚 Rick Rocheleau assured her he would 鈥渢hrow some wave in.鈥

The GE Team then admitted that expanding Oahu鈥檚 ability to convert its trash to firm power was not included either. No worries, HNEI and GE said, 鈥淭here鈥檚 a lot more to go in the study鈥 and 鈥渃ontinued research is necessary.鈥

I looked to see if any environmental costs analyses or community impacts were included in this 鈥渃ontinued research,鈥 or any evidence of the bottom-up planning Rep. McKelvey and others spoke of last legislative session? Apparently not relevant.

Truth be told, Elected Officials, this GE Roadmap study doesn鈥檛 look much different than the one for which ratepayers are already repaying HECO to the tune of $4 million, and it鈥檚 strikingly similar to many of the results presented in the recently completed 鈥 and criticized – Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) process, a core focus of which was to consider how and whether the utilities could meet the state鈥檚 RPS. You may recall that at the conclusion of the IRP process last May the utility said it doesn鈥檛 need Lanai, or an undersea cable to or from anywhere, to meet the RPS. DBEDT opined along similar lines a few weeks later.

Now, the GE Roadmap comes on the heels of at least five other known studies we have paid GE to participate in since 2008: 鈥淪ustainable Energy Options/Big Island鈥 (cost unknown); 鈥淢aui Wind Integration鈥 (costs redacted); 鈥淥ahu Wind Integration鈥 ($473,972); 鈥淗awaii Solar Integration鈥 (your guess?); and the 鈥淥ahu-Maui Interconnection Study-Stage 2鈥 ($405,000).

That鈥檚 at least $1,728,972 of our tax and rate dollars paid to the GE Team. So far.

And HNEI appears to be doing quite well for itself as well: according to to the Legislature, its budget grew from $2 million in 2001 to over $22 million for 2012-2013. That鈥檚 a 1,000 percent increase, if my math is correct. A factoid to keep in the forefront, Legislators, as agencies line up for budget requests this session.

For sure, HNEI is doing some nifty things. But continuing to study and promote Big Wind on Lanai? Perhaps HNEI and GE need to use a little more 鈥渋magination at work.鈥

So we ask you, our Elected Officials, to ask yourselves: is this how we should continue to spend millions of our dollars? Perhaps we should spend those millions on fixing the grid, instead of endlessly studying to fix the grid.

After Neil鈥檚 last visit, someone suggested we consider retiring our all-over-town 鈥淣O WINDMILLS ON LANAI鈥 signs, since they were no longer necessary. We think we鈥檒l leave them up a while longer, since we are again reading what looks like another taxpayer-funded study that has Big Wind on Lanai as a favored solution.

No matter, the troops are easily charged up, eager to continue to rail against the potential loss of up to one-fourth of our island and its historic cultural sites, to fight to protect and preserve our wildlife and sea life, and insure our energy independence.

Hey HNEI and GE: thanks for the head鈥檚 up.

About the author: Sally Kaye, a full time resident of Lanai, is an editor and former prosecutor.

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