Civil Beat Poll – Full Questionnaire and Results — October 2012
Civil Beat conducted a survey of likely general election voters in late October to gauge public opinion on five major political contests to be decided on Nov. 6 — races for president, U.S. Senate, Congress and Honolulu mayor.
Below are the full questionnaires, issue results, demographics and methodologies.
Here are the stories Civil Beat published based on the polls, each of which has its own race-specific survey report with full results and cross-tabulations:
- Civil Beat Poll – Cayetano Peaks, Caldwell Surges
- Civil Beat Poll – Hirono’s Double-Digit Lead Over Lingle Holding
- Civil Beat Poll – Hanabusa Expands Lead Over Djou In Race for Congress
- Civil Beat Poll – Obama Lead Narrows, But Hawaii Still Very Safe
Methodology
Civil Beat surveyed a random sample of 1,218 likely participants in the upcoming November general election (i.e., registered voters whose voting histories indicate that they are likely to vote). Calls were made on the evenings of Oct. 24 to Oct. 26, using interactive voice response technology (touch-tone polling).
All results were balanced for age, gender, race/ethnicity, and congressional district (within Honolulu County).
The sampling margin of error for the full sample is +/- 2.8 percentage points. The margin of error indicates that in 95 percent of samples of this size, the results will be within +/- 2.8 percent of the actual percentage in the full population of likely voters. Other sources of error, such as imperfect response rates, are also common in public opinion research and may affect the results. The margin of error for any crosstabulated result is larger than the margin of error of the corresponding topline result. Each election report includes the specific margin of error for that subsample.
The poll was conducted by Civil Beat working with , a full-service consulting organization specializing in opinion research, election management, and communications.
